Tropical Storm Jan

The WDSU weather team is closely watching several areas in the tropics, but the main area of ​​interest for us is Tropical Storm Ian. The models slowly trended west, so we’re watching this storm closely, and it’s a good idea for you to check back in, too. As of now, though, we are not in the cone, and being this far on the west side of the storm will provide us with nice weather! Let’s get into the details of where Ian might be going. Tropical Storm Ian is expected to start rapidly strengthening later today. Right now, Ian is about 320 miles south-southeast of Grand Cayman and 590 miles southeast of the western tip of Cuba. It has winds of 50 mph and is moving WNW at 12 mph. Ian will likely strengthen into a Category 1 hurricane tonight. On its path to doing so, it will pass Jamaica to the west. Ian will then likely become a Category 2 hurricane by tomorrow morning and maintain that status as it crosses west of the Cayman Islands. From there, it will continue to strengthen and could be a major category 3 hurricane by Monday night. It will then make landfall in western Cuba Tuesday morning and continue strengthening into a Category 4. It will continue strengthening as a Category 4 and could have max sustained winds of 140 mph while in the Gulf. Luckily, it is then expected to weaken as it takes aim at the Gulf Coast due to an increase in wind shear. However, despite the weakening, Ian will be slowing down and its wind field will likely be widening, so significant wind and storm surge impacts are still possible. It looks like Ian is still taking aim at Florida. The official forecast cone from the National Hurricane Center encompasses areas near Gulf Shores, AL, to Fort Myers, FL. Remember, the center of the hurricane is forecast to make landfall anywhere within the cone, so the entire coast within the cone needs to be preparing for a possible landfall in their area. The latest models point it mostly towards the eastern Panhandle, from around Panama City Beach to Perry, FL. There have been slow trends to the west over the past two days. At this point, it’s still a good idea to keep checking in on the latest data and discussion here at wdsu.com and on our regular newscast throughout the day. However, it is still far enough east that we aren’t expecting impacts beyond a breeze picking up. There is only a 5% probability of sustained tropical storm force winds here. Besides that system, we’re watching two other named storms and an area of ​​possible development. Hermine is now a post-tropical cyclone. It will continue to dump heavy rain on portions of the Canary Islands. Tropical Storm Gaston has been underestimated regarding weakening. The center of Gaston has re-developed farther west, and tropical storm warnings have been discontinued for the Azores. A tropical wave west of the Cabo Verde Islands in the Central Tropical Atlantic still has a low chance of development over the next five days. Stay with WDSU for the latest.

The WDSU weather team is closely watching several areas in the tropics, but the main area of ​​interest for us is Tropical Storm Ian.

The models slowly trended west, so we’re watching this storm closely, and it’s a good idea for you to check back in, too.

As of now, though, we are not in the cone, and being this far on the west side of the storm will provide us with nice weather! Let’s get into the details of where Ian might be going.

Tropical Storm Ian is expected to start rapidly strengthening later today. Right now, Ian is about 320 miles south-southeast of Grand Cayman and 590 miles southeast of the western tip of Cuba. It has winds of 50 mph and is moving WNW at 12 mph.

Ian will likely strengthen into a Category 1 hurricane tonight. On its path to doing so, it will pass Jamaica to the west.

Ian will then likely become a Category 2 hurricane by tomorrow morning and maintain that status as it crosses west of the Cayman Islands.

From there, it will continue to strengthen and could be a major category 3 hurricane by Monday night. It will then make landfall in western Cuba Tuesday morning and continue strengthening into a Category 4.

It will continue strengthening as a Category 4 and could have max sustained winds of 140 mph while in the Gulf.

Luckily, it is then expected to weaken as it takes aim at the Gulf Coast due to an increase in wind shear. However, despite the weakening, Ian will be slowing down and its wind field will likely be widening, so significant wind and storm surge impacts are still possible.

cone closeup

It looks like Ian is still taking aim at Florida. The official forecast cone from the National Hurricane Center encompasses areas near Gulf Shores, AL, to Fort Myers, FL.

Remember, the center of the hurricane is forecast to make landfall anywhere within the cone, so the entire coast within the cone needs to be prepared for a possible landfall in their area.

The latest models point it mostly towards the eastern Panhandle, from around Panama City Beach to Perry, FL.

ian models

There have been slow trends to the west over the past two days. At this point, it’s still a good idea to keep checking in on the latest data and discussion here at wdsu.com and on our regular newscast throughout the day. However, it is still far enough east that we aren’t expecting impacts beyond a breeze picking up. There is only a 5% probability of sustained tropical storm force winds here.

Jan

Hearst Owned

Tropical storm force winds and hurricane force winds are not expected in our area.

Besides that system, we’re watching two other named storms and an area of ​​possible development.

Jan

Hermine is now a post-tropical cyclone. It will continue to dump heavy rain on portions of the Canary Islands.

Tropical Storm Gaston has been underestimated regarding weakening. The center of Gaston has re-developed farther west, and tropical storm warnings have been discontinued for the Azores.

A tropical wave west of the Cabo Verde Islands in the Central Tropical Atlantic still has a low chance of development over the next five days.

Stay with WDSU for the latest.

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